urgent.. "Al-Julani" He wants American embrace…and Russia is turning to African countries

All indications confirm that Ahmed Al-Sharaa, nicknamed Abu Muhammad Al-Julani, wants American embrace, and perhaps this message was understood by Russia, which is working to significantly reduce its military presence in Syria, and transfers as much of its military equipment as possible from that country to Africa. < /p>

 

This conclusion is based on flight data and satellite images reviewed by RFE/RL Liberty.

 

According to reports, Moscow appears to have removed much of its military equipment from its bases in Syria since the overthrow of President Bashar al-Assad, a long-time ally of Russia, on December 8.< /p>

 

These tests showed that Russia had increased its presence in 3 African countries to compensate for the possible loss of its air base in Hmeimim and the naval base in Tartus. 

 

However, experts believe that these African countries are unlikely to serve as permanent alternatives.

 

Reports indicate that the loss of the Syrian bases would be a major strategic setback for Russia. Because these facilities allowed Moscow to project its power throughout the Middle East and Africa.

 

Moscow announced that it is still negotiating with the new government in Damascus about the future of its military bases in Syria, but the movement The extensive collection of Russian military equipment indicates that the country may face a complete withdrawal from Syria.

 

Russia has several bases in Africa, and has increased its military presence on the continent in the years. The latter. These bases include facilities in Libya, Mali, and the Central African Republic.

 

However, transporting large amounts of military equipment from Russia or Syria to Africa would be expensive.

 

Roland Marchal of the Institute of Political Studies in Paris told RFE/RL that “in order to implement important measures, Russia has to pay a lot of money; Both for its air and sea fleets.

 

Flying heavy cargo aircraft from Russia to Africa will also be difficult, as refueling midway becomes one of the main issues.  It is also subject to obtaining permission to cross the airspace of Turkey, a regional rival of the Russian Federation.

 

Despite these costs, Russia appears to have transferred some of its military equipment from Syria to Its bases are in Mali and Libya. About 1,200 Russian soldiers are stationed in these two countries.

 

The American Bloomberg Agency claimed that sending weapons, drones, and fuel worth millions of dollars by Russia and Iran to Sudan has changed the balance of power in favor of The country’s army, and these two countries are now seeking to build bases in the coastal city of Port Sudan.

 

Analysis of the flights shows that Moscow sent cargo planes to Libya; Some of these trips took place from Syria and others from Russia. In recent weeks, there has been more air traffic between Russia and Libya than usual, although it is still unclear what the planes were carrying.

 

Cargo planes crossed from Russia to Libya is the airspace of Turkey, a member of NATO.

 

The Institute for War Studies in Washington said on December 12 that the logistical challenges facing Russia in reaching Africa " It will increase Turkey’s political influence against Russia.

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