Gold exceeds $ 3800 an ounce and 21 carat up to 40.83 dinars for the first time in history

Gold prices increased today, Monday, bypassing the threshold of $ 3,800 an ounce for the first time, with the support of the dollar’s ​​decline and the increase in expectations for the US Federal Reserve Reduction during the current year.

By 6:30 GMT, gold in instant transactions rose 0.9% to $ 3814.91 an ounce, while US futures increased December delivery 0.8% to $ 3844, according to Reuters.

In 2025, the Gold Market witnessed exceptional momentum, as prices exceeded a barrier of $ 3,000 an ounce at the beginning of the year, and continued to rise steadily. This reflects the historical role of gold as a safe haven and a tool for inflation in light of global economic turmoil.

The main factors behind the height

Several interconnected factors led this upward trend:

• Gold purchase programs from central banks, especially in Asia and the Middle East.

• Geopolitical tensions that have increased the demand for concrete assets.

• Continuing inflationary pressures despite the interventions of central banks.

• Restrictions on production and decline in mining reserves.

• Currency fluctuations that strengthened the demand for assets not related to traditional markets.

The effect of the US dollar and inflation

The dollar index decreased 0.2% against a rival currency basket, which made the gold -resistant gold less expensive for buyers than other currencies. The US Department of Commerce data showed that the personal consumption expenses index rose 0.3% in August, after an increase of 0.2% in July, in line with economists’ expectations.

The expectations of the major financial institutions

World banks’ expectations show a clear tendency to ascend:

• Goldman Sachs: $ 3,700 at the end of 2025 and more than 4,000 in 2026.

• GB Morgan: $ 3,675 in 2025.

• Bank of America and Suste General: $ 3,500.

• OCBC Bank: The most optimistic about 3,900 dollars.

As for the long term (2027 -2030), expectations indicate that prices can reach $ 5,000-7,000 an ounce under specific economic conditions.

Gold as a safe haven

Gold, which does not generate return, usually tends to rise when the interest is low and in periods of economic and geopolitical uncertainty.

Gold has proven its ability to withstand inflation, contraction, currency crises and financial collapses. Therefore, it is described as a “comprehensive refining tool”, and not just a means of embracing against inflation. This also was reflected in the trading of Asian stock markets that began today with caution, amid fears of the possibility of government closure in the United States.

Central bank purchase wave

Since 2010, central banks have turned from a clear seller to an active gold buyer, to constitute about 25% of global demand. Russia, China, India, and Turkey lead this trend with the aim of diversifying precautions and reducing dependence on the dollar and moving against sanctions and inflation.

Litting restrictions and expansion of demand

Global gold production has been stable at about 4,000 metric tons annually for six years, due to environmental challenges, the decline in crude quality and exploration difficulties. On the other hand, the demand remained strong in the investment, jewelry, and industrial uses sectors, in addition to the large purchases of central banks.

Silver performance in 2025

Despite the dominance of gold on the headlines, silver outperformed it by 10% this year, driven by the increase in industrial demand in the fields of renewable energy, electronics and medicine. Despite its high fluctuation, silver remains an attractive choice for investors.

Geopolitical factors and cash transformations

Regional conflicts and competitions between major powers and trade tensions pushed investors towards gold. At the same time, the initiatives to remove dependence on the dollar, the expansion of the “BRICS” alliance, and the tests of the cryptocurrencies of the central banks are accelerated, which enhances the position of gold in the global financial system.

Technical indicators support the upward trend

Technical analysis shows that gold penetrated historical residences after a decade of cohesion, with strong momentum indicators and constant support from trading volume. Also, the market morale has not yet reached the peak of optimism, which means that the field is still open for more gains.

Interest rates and credibility of the central banks

Expectations to reduce interest rates in late 2025 and the beginning of 2026 are in the interest of gold, as it reduces the cost of keeping it. Loss of confidence in the ability of central banks to control inflation enhances its attractiveness.

Gold investment options

Various between:

• Physical ownership (gold coins, alloys, custom cabinets).

• Financial tools such as traded boxes, mining companies, or futures.

Conclusion: the future of gold

All indicators confirm that gold is in a sustainable rising path. With the continued purchase of central banks, the bid, and the escalation of geopolitical tensions, it is a candidate to achieve more rises until after 2025. Analysts are unanimously agreed that the market is still in the stage of long -term structure.