European doubts about the extent of trust in Trump about “intelligence information”

There are no expectations about the damage caused by the “bullying” of US President Donald Trump, and his deputy, JD Vans, on the alliance between the Atlantic parties, in the long run, and it appears that European leaders, who are courageous, are in front of a major crisis.

European officials have surrendered somewhat to the deterioration of the Atlantic coalition during the Trump era, and some are trying to anticipate the possible positive aspects, such as the end of excessive dependence on the United States regarding security issues.

However, NATO (NATO) and the former joint opposition of Russian imperialism are not only in danger, but also one of the longest and most successful alliances for exchanging intelligence in history.

The United States and European countries have always benefited from the information exchange system among themselves, and the United States can see everywhere in the world from China to the Middle East, and the Europeans, at the same time, were able to provide assistance to the United States to understand the Kremlin stimuli in Eastern Europe.

Through the intelligence coalition known as “the five eyes”, which includes alongside the United States, Canada, Australia and New Zealand, the United Kingdom participated in deciphering the blades and intercepting intelligence since the end of the Cold War.

Click on Ukraine

Trump makes the exchange of intelligence information a weapon that he uses whenever he wants, as he cut these arrangements for Ukraine, to pressure its government, and Western security officials spoke, without mentioning their names because of the sensitivity of their positions, how they fear that confidence between the Atlantic parties may lead to stopping the exchange of information between Europe and the United States.

They said that some countries have already restricted the volume of intelligence information that they wish to share widely with their allies, and take a bilateral approach to exchanging information, on the basis of each case separately.

The first reason that comes to mind was President Trump, who was characterized by a history of detecting sensitive and confidential information, and he is now about to meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin, and other Kremlin officials, without any allies in the meeting room.

“Of course, it is unlikely to share information when there is a real danger from its arrival in Moscow or followers of a movement (to make America great again), who cannot be trusted,” added a Western security official.

Trump’s sympathy

The second Trump administration has already raised questions for European allies, including members of NATO, about the parties to Trump’s international sympathy.

A European security source said: “We have to judge Trump through his actions and sayings.” He added: “He wants to expel Canada from the security (five -ophthalmal) alliance, and made the officer with the rank of a US military presenter, Toulcy Gabbard, Director of National Security, and the American lawyer, Cash Patel, Director of the FBI, and it is completely clear that there is a major change in the standards, which will make us We definitely reconsider it. ”

The talk about confidence and its lack of it was repeated under the Trump administration, and a British intelligence source said: “Confidence has always been built within NATO for decades, since 1949, and it was built by facing mutual threats, such as the Soviet Union and Global Terrorism, but confidence from those things that are difficult to build and facilitate to dismantle.”

Disagreements have long occurred between Washington and European capitals before. In 1956, during the Suez crisis, the United States pressed both France and the United Kingdom to withdraw their soldiers from Egypt, which is one of these examples, but security agencies are typically understanding that politicians come and go, but institutions remain long decades.

Probability

The British security source said: “The thing that may be different from Trump is his clear support for the Russian president, excessive politicization of government agencies, and the fact is that we have not exceeded one month of the four years for his presidential term, and there is still time for a long -term possible damage.”

NATO officials fear that the continued decline in confidence between the allies will make the process of protecting the borders of the coalition countries in a “operational” manner more difficult.

One of the NATO officials said: “This means that we are getting less sensitive and centrally beneficial information, and of course, confidence is a two -way way,” and for this, the “rift” made by Trump with Europe made officials assume that, in line with the president’s hostility, less American intelligence information will now be exchanged with European allies.

Many security officials have focused that if the allies end up to a situation in which they get less intelligence, they will lose valuable information than the enemies might plan, and if they get less monitoring, reconnaissance and setting goals, it will be difficult for them to defend themselves against the enemies.

Cyber ​​attacks

During the past week, the US Secretary of Defense, Beit Higseth, ordered the cessation of cyber attacks on Russia, and the ministry later denied this, and many Europeans considered this as a weak point, as it gives Russia and the Kremlin agents the way to enhance their grip on the information space, and it is sending a message from Washington to Moscow, according to which the United States is not considered monitoring or disrupting the electronic activity of the Kremlin a priority.

No one knows where all of this will lead, and it seems that Trump and his Republican party are absolutely not interested in facing Russia, compared to other geopolitical (and local) priorities, such as commercial tariffs, and the superiority of China in developing modern technologies, and they share with Moscow in ideological priorities, such as reaffirming the patriarchal system, and hatred of progressive activists.

Exploitation arrangements

The Trump team, especially Vice President, GD Vans, was clear in their point of view that the best way to bring peace to Ukraine is not through traditional power, but by exploitative economic arrangements in essence.

In addition, the destruction of the United States ’capabilities, led by the government efficiency management, in addition to the comprehensive attack on security maintenance organizations, such as the FBI, which Trump is very blame for pursuing the perpetrators of the Sixth of January 2021 attack on the US Senate building, indicates that the United States will not seek to collect or even be able to obtain the intelligence levels that it obtained since the end of the Cold War, and of course not You can offer something that you do not have.

The Europeans will pressure, at the best of their teeth, and exceed the next four years, in the hope that Trump will not share sensitive information with his opponents or hide them too much, and in the worst scenarios, Europe may suddenly find a victim of an order that was supposed to be warned by its closest allies as an escalation from Russia, for example. About “Foreign Policy”

. Western security officials are afraid that the erosion of confidence between the Atlantic sides will stop the exchange of information between Europe and the United States.