Strategists draw “unbearable” scenarios of a war between America and Canada

Over the past century, the United States and Canada were the best friends, and a war between them appeared to be a form of imagination, but before that this possibility was always among the military strategies on both sides of the border, and this is partly due to the fact that the two countries have fought wars before, but today the concerns were exacerbated, when President, Donald Trump, explicitly spoke about expanding the borders of the United States, until the highest pole, insisting that Greenland will be safer as an American region, Canada can join the US Federation as a state number 51, and Trump insists that this will happen by peaceful means.

Canadians do not want this, shortly after Trump’s inauguration, last January, Google’s searches for the phrase “Canada’s invasion” increased significantly.

The enthusiastic Canadians call for the necessity of arming their citizens in anticipation of any emergency, but the possibility of war between the two allies is still very little, yet strategic thinkers are looking at both sides of the border in the form of this conflict.

War planning

Ultimately, war and emergency planning does not mean that this will certainly fall, but planning comes in anticipation of every imagined scenario, including unanimous scenario, the only time that the United States fought a war with its neighbor was in 1812, when the American forces entered into a chaotic and turbulent battle against Great Britain and its lands.

The war reached its tragic climax when the British forces sailed across the “Cisabeque” Gulf, entered Washington, DC, stormed the abandoned White House, and the soldiers ate the dinner of the President, James Madison, drank his wipers, then set fire to most of the capital.

When the two parties met in Belgium to hold peace talks, the British accused the United States of declaring the war and seeking to “invade Canada and include it permanently to the United States”, and the representatives of the United States denied this accusation, but the statements of their generals undermined their position, and the peace agreement brought back the borders to what it was before the war, and fears diminished over time, but the possibility of another war remained very likely throughout most of the 199 century.

While Britain officially adhered to neutrality during the Civil War, it was involved in a diplomatic crisis when it detained Confederalist envoys, who were heading to London on an English ship in 1861, and the probability of the war was sharp, to the point that the governor of Canada moved his forces and supplies to the border.

In the end, calm prevailed, but things returned to tension after a series of raids, and assassinations of senior British officials, carried out by the “Fanniene Brotherhood” in New York City in the 1960s and 1970 In 1858 and 1924.

The possibility of invasion was strongly present by the Prime Minister, John A. McDonald, the first leader of the new Canadian Union, immediately began preparing Canada for such an invasion, and began to create a railway linking East and West, designed to transport forces from one coast to another when needed.

He also established the northern western horses police, which later became the Canadian Royal Khamal Police, to serve as a permanent “militia” to protect from the wild criminals, suppress the rule of indigenous people, and protect from any possible invasion by the American forces.

“Defense Plan 1”

In 1921, the Canadian Lieutenant -Colonel James Paster Sarland Brown began preparing the “Defense Plan 1”, and although this strategy was issued by order of his superiors, it was not an officially approved plan for clear reasons, and according to the plan, the Canadian forces, taking advantage of the long -defense border, will organize an attack on five fronts in the south, with the aim of seizing railways and communications lines Vitality, and its destruction, to weaken the United States’s ability to launch war.

From there, Canadian forces will quickly retreat, reorganize their ranks behind defensive lines, and it was a strategy to gain time to reach British reinforcements from all over the world, but the plans were controversial, to the point of issuing orders to cancel them shortly after writing them.

Less than a decade, the American strategists began developing a true copy of these plans. The “red” war plan was named, and it studied a global conflict between the “blue” United States and the United Kingdom “Al -Hamra”, and in this plan Canada was called the “Carmatian” symbolic name, and the plan addresses details of the risks of such an invasion, and the many Nova Scosha lakes will be useful for the Canadian defense lines, and the Canadian defense lines will be useful for the Canadian defense lines. And the border city of Saint Saint Mary in Ontario, a few population and weak, and the city of Vancouver in British Columbia, has enough communications and railway to facilitate the arrival of British reinforcements, etc., but in the following years, the probability of war is slowly diminished, and a series of commercial conflicts in the late 19th century sparked the possibility of Washington to use economic coercion To impose a union with Canada, although the idea of ​​a new war has become increasingly ridiculous.

The war plans show that if America hopes to win a war against the British Empire, then the seizure of Canada is an inevitable matter, and the American strategists conclude that this can be achieved by seizing the region between the cities of Quebec and Toronto, which may actually lead to separating the country into two parts, disrupting communications, facilitating control of the capital, Ottawa, and sailing to seize the Halifax port, and in When the plans are optimistic about achieving American victory, the Joint Chiefs of Staff highlighted a possible weakness of the United States, the Panama Channel.

A “non -contained war”

However, it seems that the possibilities of war between the two countries are no longer possible, when both the United States and Canada signed an agreement in New York, in 1940, obliging both sides to assume a joint responsibility in “defending the northern half of the globe”, and established a permanent joint defense council, responsible for the joint management of continental security.

Since then, the armies of the United States, Canada, their military industries, economies, and strategic directions have completed a deep and thoughtful integration, and in the following years, this integration formed the establishment of the Space Air Defense Command for North America (Nourd), and NATO (NATO).

Throughout the Cold War, the US Department of Defense (Pentagon) and research centers, such as the Rand Foundation, have been developing strategies and simulation of the possibility of European countries in the grip of Soviet influence, but the American -Canadian relations were very durable during that era, to the point that it was not possible to become Canada a burden, or even a threat to the United States.

But during that period, one region composed matters, which is the North Pole, since its inception as a country, Canada has not given a significant attention to the Al -Aqsa, and the Cold War, and Russia’s proximity to it, prompted the installation of a network of early warning radars throughout its northern lands, as a report issued by the Canadian Ministry of National Defense in 1980 indicated that while the Arctic is an essential part of continental security, there was a fundamental dispute between the United States and Canada The actual official of him, and while Canada considered that the water between the rock architectural of its northern lands is its exclusive sovereign water, the United States considers it “international harassment.”

Trump logic

The Canadian report for the year 1980 warned that “the greatest threat to Canadian power in the North Pole may come from the United States”, after five years, the US Coast Gueline Slide swept through the northwestern corridor without informing Canada, which sparked a diplomatic dispute, and this issue was resolved in 1988, when the United States agreed to request permission from Canada before sailing via the North Pole, but The agreement did not resolve the issue of whether the water is a region belonging to Canada or not.

“If Greenland and the northern pole are strategically important, and Denmark has not been able to defend Greenland, the responsibility for defending Greenland lies with America, not another party,” Denmark is unable to defend Greenland, as he believes a firm belief that the country that cannot defend itself is not a real state.

The prevailing belief is that if there are war plans for a sudden conflict between the United States and Canada, it is unlikely to see the light in this decade, and perhaps even in this century. About “Foreign Policy”

. The United States may not plan a comprehensive invasion of Canada, but there is a reason for the belief that the White House may manage a new attempt to impose its control on the vital navigational corridors.