Urgent| A week after the ouster of Assad…the silence before the storm

Less than a week ago, the Syrian Ministry of Finance informed the country’s businessmen of the transition from a central monetary management system to a free economy.

 

Needless to say, in the current reality, Any foreign investment in Syria would be a meaningless charity at best, and economic suicide at the worst.

Days before that, an order was issued to abolish the monopolistic practices that the previous regime had imposed on the population, despite the fact that the implementation of Institutional Islamic law did not Not only was he present in Syria, but he was in violation of Sharia law, according to the Baathist concept that was prevalent in the country’s institutions.

Last night, the Syrian Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued a statement thanking the countries that did not close their embassies in Damascus, and continued their work in a manner Natural.

 All for the sake of conveying calm and stability and seizing power, "and nothing further!" In a smooth manner.

Just a short while ago, pictures of the new transitional government ministers were published on social media, including the “interim” Minister of Foreign Affairs. With the knowledge of “New Syria”.  

According to all experts and observers, this relative calm in Syria is deceptive, as the complete freedom of action achieved by the Israeli army last week, which led to the almost complete destruction of all capabilities The Syrian military and political, in addition to the return to the May 1974 lines with the expansion of its occupation of the new Syrian lands, are the result of the final disintegration of the Syrian army, which has been suffering from disintegration since the middle of the last decade, and the Russian abandonment of it in the face of… They are preoccupied with the Ukraine war, while the Syrian armed militias are preoccupied with internal affairs.

First – Do not indulge in this silence – Syria is not in a state of a new regime, Syria is in a state of new chaos.

And while the sheikhs of Qara issued nuclear weapons in the buffer zone between the occupied Golan and Syria, calls appeared in the Zionist entity to deal with these calls with caution because they do not stem from a desire to Family reunification, as young people there have almost no feelings towards extended families, and the village elders remain a minority. 

It is not for nothing that the video circulated on social media The “khakher” social community, and the leadership there understands the scenarios that have not yet surfaced, and hides behind the cloud of euphoria to overthrow Bashar within days. 

But when the clouds clear, the direct involvement of the Druze from the northern Golan in the army’s activities appears. The Syrians who have been present in the region for many decades and cooperate with various regime mechanisms “and even with the Shiite axis,” and it will be difficult to hide the activities of senior Druze officers in the Syrian commando units. which operated in Mount Hermon and local smugglers who helped smuggle drugs and light weapons via the "smugglers’ route" The twisted path from Syria to Lebanon took place years ago and passed under the eyes and knowledge of Israeli observers in the Hermon settlement outpost.  

Syria will never become a prosperous and stable democracy, as its population is deeply divided and fundamentally unprepared for a rapid transition to a parliamentary system, which has a built-in mechanism of checks and balances that are not related to sectarian, tribal, regional, or class affiliation. 

Only from the sermons of the ideological outlook of Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham, led by Muhammad al-Julani, who claims to be the first to lead to the creation of a new Syria, can we understand that This is a religious matter – an extremist political view of the world under the tactical guise of moderation and flexibility. 

" Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham" It is a movement whose activists see the end of a state that is not subject to Islamic law. From a Salafi-jihadist perspective, with a Wahhabi hue, you see that what is written in the holy books is holy and holy. 

But unlike other jihadist movements, such as ISIS, from which the editorial board broke away, or the Taliban, the movement is trying to control On power in a very restricted and non-coercive way at the present time, and the Kurds really understand that. – It is an adaptation of its abbreviation in English "HTS" With the apparent sound of the name “ISIS”.  

What is happening on Syrian soil regarding Muhammad al-Julani, is a film whose events revolve around a terrorist who works within the most extremist and hidden cells of Al-Qaeda and ISIS, and who has an elegant personality, as was noted in a high-level interview of its kind that took place in front of a media outlet. Western media on CNN, at the height of the armed militia attack on northern Syria two weeks ago, wearing military clothing somewhat similar to the clothing of the Free Syrian Army. 

Rules The dress adopted and even invented by Ukrainian President Zelensky, without an Afghan turban on his head, without a Kalashnikov rifle crossed on his back – all this does not indicate his personality, but rather the image he wants to portray. 

Everything that happens will not be hidden. The contradictions in the Syrian scene will not remain for long before they explode, as the Kurds are demanding self-determination. The so-called Syrian National Army consists of multiple groups and orientations, which weakens its ideological component, but its demand for an important share in the future of governance in the new Syria is not necessarily based on a religious position. As for Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham – In her view, it is contrary to all of that.

It was the journalist, orientalist, and author of Assad’s biography, Father Patrick Seale, who summarized the saying, “Whoever controls Syria will control the Middle East,” but he is no longer alive, to make his words accurate. But in reality, his intention was that the course of things in Syria directly affects the region, even regardless of the political control itself. 

 

Syria is It serves as a large regional chessboard located within the sphere of influence of the historical dynasties – the Turkish Ottoman, the Persian, the Jordanian Hashemite, and Saudi Arabia, and the “Israeli” – and the expectations of ethnic groups with territorial ambitions – Kurds, Druze, Shiites, Alawites, Palestinians and others, but just as Syria is affected by them, it affects abroad.

In the coming months, the future of the region will be studied. The internal conflicts that may break out in Syria in light of conflicts over Influence, power, and aspirations for self-determination may turn into a larger civil war than has been known so far. 

   

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