Urgent| What is the biggest threat to the world in 2025? Experts answer

The world seems to be experiencing a particularly critical moment at the moment, and conflicts may push it into a global war.

While, climate change and its severe impacts on our planet and people are accelerating, the rapid and unrestrained progress of artificial intelligence technology.< /p>

So, what is the biggest threat facing the world in 2025? The American magazine Newsweek asked experts on global risks for their opinions. Here’s what they had to say.

 

Global Threats

 

Oliver Jones, head of global strategy, said that the most dangerous global threats in… The year 2025 is the presence of many interconnected and interconnected threats, and there is a long list of these threats.

He pointed to the global tariff war and increasing economic competition; elections in France and Germany, which may further empower populist parties; persistent above-trend inflation and weak global growth; asynchronous regulation of technology and artificial intelligence; escalating tensions between the United States and China; And the worsening conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East – in addition to long-term threats such as climate change and the effects of international migration.

What is worse, he believes, is that these threats are not a “black swan.” Each of them is possible, and many are more likely to come true, noting that the odds of good outcomes in light of all of these threats are low, especially since they are interconnected in ways that enhance downside risks.

Tina Fordham, founder and geopolitical strategist at Fordham, asked Global Foresight, saying: Have you heard of climate change denial? Here’s the next version of it: Geopolitical Risk Denial This is the mindset that believes geopolitical risks are things that happen in far away places.

 

She said: In a more skeptical and polarized era, the idea That any country, even if it is rich and has a powerful army like America, is not affected by global events is not just a mistake, but rather a risk in itself, as the vast majority of people in the developed world grew up in peaceful and prosperous times, and did not have Only a few have direct knowledge of conflicts or unrest.

 

This lack of personal experience in dealing with geopolitical risks can lead to underestimation of opponents and lack of Investing in preparedness, as America’s geography was a great blessing, helped keep it safer from invasions compared to other countries that find themselves at the crossroads of empires, but the nature of the threats that may arise in the twenty-first century will not be contained by geography alone. My advice is that chance favors the prepared mind, “to paraphrase Louis Pasteur,” and that we prepare for the new cycle of geopolitical risks.

 

Christian Mölling, Europe Director, Bertelsmann Foundation, expects The greatest threat is the belief that one issue can be addressed in isolation without triggering cascading effects on other critical challenges. Today we face a deeply interconnected landscape of risks – driven by ignorance and reactive politics. and hypocrisy – amplifying individual threats into systemic risks.

A notable example of this is the growing cooperation between China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea, often referred to as the CRINK Alliance.

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He said that the West’s failure to effectively confront the growing influence of these countries stems from an incorrect identification of priorities related to threats, which leads to not taking sufficient measures to confront the basic risks, and this evolving alliance creates a complex threat environment. And interactive, allowing these actors to exploit Western weaknesses, escalate strategic dilemmas, and impose high costs.

 

In 2025, the challenge will not be one enemy, but rather a concerted one. Threats that require comprehensive, coordinated and forward-looking solutions.

While Global Strategy Consultant Marco Vicenzino explained that in 2025 and beyond, the new world order will be characterized by an increasingly complex, or rather chaotic, Increasing fragmentation between and within many countries.

 

He emphasized that although the nation-state remains the primary actor in the polycentric system, non-state actors will increasingly act To disrupt events in both the virtual and physical worlds, and in between, some regimes – led by China and Russia – will seek to replace the liberal order created by the global West through more confrontational means.

He believes that the Third Pole, or the Global South " ;more than 140 countries, which are erroneously referred to as the “Global South,” further complicate the international power equation due to competing and diverging interests. As the 21st century develops, this pole will shape events that go far beyond expectations.

He said the EU will increasingly have to choose which side its smaller, but larger members – such as India and Indonesia – belong to. They will have greater leverage to play global powers against each other to achieve greater self-interests.

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