Full details of Trump’s 15-point document to end the war in Iran

There is a state of concern in Israel about the US administration’s possible tendency to quickly reach a framework agreement with Iran, in light of estimates that US President Donald Trump and his team are seeking to formulate an initial understanding that includes a temporary ceasefire, in preparation for broader negotiations on a comprehensive agreement.

According to what Israeli Channel 12 reported on Tuesday evening, citing three sources familiar with the details, Trump’s advisors, Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, are working on formulating a mechanism to announce a ceasefire for a month, during which a 15-item agreement will be discussed.

The report indicated that this scenario, based on a quick and loose agreement of principles, raises great concern among the political and security levels in Israel, in light of fears that Iran will be able to achieve actual gains through a ceasefire without resolving the core issues or dismantling its power elements.

In this context, the channel reported the terms of a document containing 15 items, quoted from a Western source, which were presented to Iran within the framework of the proposed understandings, while Washington awaits an Iranian response regarding holding talks during this week, perhaps in Islamabad.

According to the document, the United States demands that Iran “dismantle existing nuclear capabilities that have been accumulated,” “pledge never to seek to possess a nuclear weapon,” in addition to “preventing the enrichment of nuclear materials on Iranian soil,” and “handing over all enriched materials to the International Atomic Energy Agency within an agreed upon timetable.”

The demands also include “removing the Natanz, Isfahan, and Fordow facilities from service and destroying them,” “enabling the International Atomic Energy Agency to have full access to all information inside Iran,” in addition to “Iran abandoning the approach of agents in the region,” and “stopping financing and arming its arms.”

The provisions also include ensuring that “the Strait of Hormuz remains open as a free sea lane without being closed by any party,” in addition to addressing the “ballistic missile project,” and requiring “imposing restrictions on the number of missiles and their ranges,” provided that their use be “limited to self-defense purposes.”

In return, the proposed understandings stipulate the lifting of all sanctions imposed on Iran, providing support for the development of a civilian nuclear program in Bushehr to produce electricity, in addition to canceling the threat of automatically re-imposing sanctions (the “snapback” mechanism).

In this context, Axios reported that one of the mediating countries proposed a temporary ceasefire to create conditions for negotiation, but the US administration, according to Israeli sources, prefers to conduct negotiations “under fire” to preserve pressure cards.

The report indicated that the United States presented to Israel the 15-item plan to end the war. On the other hand, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu expressed his concern about the possibility that Trump would conclude an agreement that does not meet Israeli goals, includes “major concessions,” and may restrict Israel’s ability to carry out strikes against Iran, according to what Axios reported from Israeli sources.

Israeli estimates indicate that the possibility of Iran agreeing to these conditions appears very weak, and some estimates even believe that there is “no chance” of accepting them, which keeps the scenario of the collapse of the negotiations valid, as well as the possibility of reaching a general framework agreement in which detailed issues are postponed to later negotiations.

Yedioth Ahronoth newspaper pointed to a state of doubt in Israel about the possibility of the Iranian regime responding to American demands, and quoted Israeli officials as saying that the leadership in Tehran is showing “arrogance and boldness,” and it does not seem that it will move quickly towards the ceasefire that the United States seeks.

The officials added that they are confident that any agreement that will be signed will include all the “red lines” of both the United States and Israel, but the main issue, according to their estimates, is related to how this agreement will be implemented. “This is similar to what happened in the agreement with Gaza, where our red lines were included, including the dismantling and disarmament of Hamas,” a senior official said.

The official continued: “We have obtained all the prisoners, living and dead, but we have not yet obtained the dismantling of Hamas’ capabilities. Here the question will be: How will this be done, and when will it be done?” He continued, “The devil lies in the small details. The Iranians may agree, but they do not implement it. Here, Israeli diplomacy must do everything in its power to ensure that an agreement is not only signed, but that it is also implemented.”

Israeli officials who spoke to Axios also expressed doubts that Tehran had actually made the concessions that Washington says it obtained, while Iranian officials deny the existence of behind-the-scenes negotiations, despite their confirmation of receiving American messages and proposals.

Meanwhile, the United States, in cooperation with a group of mediators, is conducting consultations to hold high-level talks with Iran that may begin on Thursday, at a time when Washington is still awaiting an official response from Tehran to the 15 items.

Axios quoted an Israeli source as saying: “There is concern that Trump will decide to reach an agreement and stop the war even if all his demands are not met, and postpone the remaining issues without a clear solution.” While Israeli intelligence estimates indicate that there is a large gap between the positions of Washington and Tehran, especially in light of Iran’s previous rejection of a number of these demands.

In light of these facts, a very limited number of officials in the US administration are still privy to the details of communications with Iran, as a source reported that Witkopf and Kushner are communicating directly with Trump without involving a wider circle.

On the other hand, Israel recently monitored intelligence indicators indicating that “something is shaping up” between the United States and Iran, without providing precise details about the nature of these contacts. On Monday, US Vice President J.D. Vance briefed Netanyahu about these developments, coinciding with Trump beginning to talk publicly about the possibility of communicating with Tehran.

In parallel with the diplomatic track, the United States is preparing for additional escalation options, as an American official reported that command elements of the 82nd Airborne Division have been directed to deploy in the Middle East, accompanied by an infantry brigade that includes thousands of soldiers. The official added that this step represents an additional and significant military reinforcement of American forces in the region, as part of preparations for the possibility of carrying out a ground operation inside Iran.