Minority paper: To what extent can Baluch be employed in the Israeli-Iranian escalation?

I reviewed Mona Keshta & ndash; First researcher in the unit of terrorism and armed conflicts of the Egyptian Center for Thought and Strategic Studies, in an important study, the ethnic minority paper in Iran and employed it as one of & nbsp tools of pressure on Iran. Analytical and media, in light of the widespread interest in the effects of this confrontation on regional security equations and international balances. But in the midst of this focus, other issues emerged on the sidelines of the scene, no less important than the traditional battlefields, foremost of which is attempts to invest internal crises inside Iran as parallel pressure papers in this open war. As one of the tools of pressure on Iran, especially in light of the attempts of regional and international parties to exploit internal tensions in Iran to increase pressure on the Iranian regime, whether militarily, politically or psychologically, or through the intelligence mechanisms of internal crises. It is one of the most prominent of these papers that can be used in this context, given the privacy of the Baluchistan region’s location, the nature of its residents, and the presence of armed organizations opposing the Iranian regime active from this region, led by the organization & LDQUO; the Army of Justice & RDQUO;, classified as a terrorist organization. Developments of escalation between Israel and Iran. Some Baloch forces entered the crisis line, investing the status of the current escalation to confirm their position on the Iranian regime, and try to invest the moment to re -raise their case in a broader regional framework. Religion Baluch, along with more organized political positions issued by the Baloch forces in Pakistan, in an attempt to link the Baloch issue to the paths of current regional tension. On June 13, 2025, a two -page statement, titled & LDQUO; The War of the regime has nothing to do with national and Islamic interests & rdquo; in which he called for the exploitation of the current escalation between Iran and Israel to turn against the jurisdiction of the jurist. The will of God to prepare for us, the people of Iran, the appropriate conditions for exploiting this void to the fullest to liberate ourselves and our country, as well as our beloved Islam, from the families of the regime of the jurist, and building Iran better and a more secure future for our future generations. Join the ranks of the resistance so that the path of freedom and dignity is paved for all of us & rdquo;

and Qeshta indicated that there are many data that make the issue of employing the ethnic minority paper at the Iranian interior in general, and the Baloch paper in particular, present in the dimensions and scenarios of the Israeli -Iranian escalation during the stage Next: & nbsp;

First: Owning the Organization & LDQUO; Army of Justice & rdquo; A record of armed operations in eastern Iran; Which earned him accumulated experience in targeting the Iranian security and military structure, especially in the terminal terrain areas that extend with neighboring countries. This makes it a ready -to -act to activate within the options for the attrition of the Iranian regime, especially in its peripheral weaknesses. About the broader context of the growing state of discontent between the marginalized ethnicity and ethnic components within Iran; The organization’s speech is clearly conducted with similar calls issued by other national powers, especially in the Kurdish arena. The parallel Balochi in Pakistan is a remarkable escalation in the activity of the separatist Baloch groups, foremost of which is the Balochistan Liberation Army & rdquo;

& nbsp; Which allows Baloch organizations a greater margin of movement and connection to logistical support networks. However, whether this paper is done directly and studied from external powers, or remained within the framework of the self -movement of the ethnic factions, the current conditions constitute an opportunity for these groups to intensify their movements and strike Iranian influence at home, in a way that exacerbates the size of the security threats facing Tehran. Directly, but it may contribute effectively to confusion of its internal accounts, and disperse its efforts in managing the regional escalation, which in itself constitutes a gain for any external party that seeks to weaken Tehran or impose more pressure on it. This paper. Accordingly, Iran appears to be up to a complex internal challenge, which may not necessarily lead to the overthrow of the regime, but it may contribute to its confusion and weakening its internal cohesion, especially if the external pressure continues in more than one direction during the coming period.

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